Politics Prediction Markets

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

55%

Flávio Bolsonaro

41%

Renan Santos

3%

Camilo Santana

2%

Romeu Zema

1%

Ronaldo Caiado

1%

Ratinho Júnior

1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

1%

Michelle Bolsonaro

1%

Fernando Haddad

1%

Jair Bolsonaro

1%

Tarcisio de Freitas

1%

$7.2M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

20%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Gavin Newsom

16%

Kamala Harris

9%

Alex Padilla

6%

Josh Stein

6%

Adam Schiff

6%

Elissa Slotkin

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Abigail Spanberger

6%

Graham Platner

6%

Ro Khanna

6%

Barack Obama

6%

Jon Stewart

6%

Michelle Obama

6%

Rahm Emanuel

5%

Mark Kelly

5%

Mark Cuban

5%

Andy Beshear

5%

Gretchen Whitmer

5%

Stephen A. Smith

5%

Josh Shapiro

5%

Pete Buttigieg

5%

James Talarico

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

MrBeast

3%

Hunter Biden

3%

Ruben Gallego

2%

Jasmine Crockett

2%

Chris Murphy

2%

Beto O’Rourke

2%

Andrew Yang

2%

Oprah Winfrey

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Chelsea Clinton

2%

LeBron James

2%

Phil Murphy

2%

Bernie Sanders

2%

Liz Cheney

2%

Hillary Clinton

2%

Jared Polis

2%

John Fetterman

2%

Cory Booker

2%

Raphael Warnock

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Roy Cooper

1%

Gina Raimondo

1%

Tim Walz

1%

George Clooney

0.2%

$933K Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yield

0 (0 bps)

86%

1 (25 bps)

9%

2 (50 bps)

4%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

1%

5 (125 bps)

1%

6 (150 bps)

1%

7 (175 bps)

1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

9 (225 bps)

1%

10 (250 bps)

1%

11 (275 bps)

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

1%

$15.3M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Yield

Democratic Party

50%

Republican Party

52%

$409K Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yield

14%

86%

$423K Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yield

Yulia Navalnaya

9%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

6%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

5%

UNRWA

5%

Narendra Modi

4%

António Guterres

4%

International Court of Justice

3.9%

Mohammed bin Salman

3%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

3%

Xi Jinping

3%

Charlie Kirk

3%

Khaled Mashal

3%

Greta Thunberg

3%

Julian Assange

0.1%

Pope Leo XIV

3%

Vladimir Putin

2%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

2%

Benjamin Netanyahu

2%

Donald Trump

0.3%

Elon Musk

2%

$406K Vol

Oct 10 @ 12:00AM

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Yield

Thomas Massie

83%

JD Vance

26%

Jon Ossoff

12%

Marco Rubio

11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

11%

Jamie Dimon

10%

Gavin Newsom

9%

Kamala Harris

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Abigail Spanberger

6%

Ron DeSantis

4%

Donald Trump Jr.

4%

Josh Shapiro

4%

Tucker Carlson

3%

Michelle Obama

3%

Ivanka Trump

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

3%

LeBron James

3%

Pete Buttigieg

3%

Tom Cotton

3%

Alex Padilla

3%

Adam Schiff

3%

Donald Trump

2%

James Talarico

2%

Zohran Mamdani

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Tim Walz

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

JB Pritzker

2%

Stephen Smith

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Andy Beshear

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Rick Scott

2%

John N. Kennedy

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Josh Stein

2%

Elissa Slotkin

2%

Pete Hegseth

2%

Mike Johnson

1%

Eric Trump

1%

Jalen Brunson

1%

Ro Khanna

0.2%

$2M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

51%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

35%

Republicans Sweep

12%

Other

1%

$10.4M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Next French Presidential Election

Yield

Sarah Knafo

96.9%

Gabriel Attal

33.9%

Marine Le Pen

33%

Édouard Philippe

25%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

15%

Sébastien Lecornu

3%

Élisabeth Borne

3%

François Bayrou

3%

Valérie Pécresse

3%

Michel Barnier

3%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

3%

Clémentine Autain

3%

François Asselineau

3%

Dominique de Villepin

3%

Olivier Faure

3%

Fabien Roussel

3%

Marine Tondelier

3%

François Hollande

3%

Bruno Retailleau

3%

François Ruffin

3%

Laurent Wauquiez

3%

Xavier Bertrand

3%

David Lisnard

3%

Jordan Bardella

3%

Yannick Jadot

2%

Lucie Castets

2%

Karim Bouamrane

2%

Clémence Guetté

2%

Juan Branco

2%

Mathilde Panot

2%

Manuel Bompard

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2%

Carole Delga

2%

Gérald Darmanin

2%

Jean Castex

2%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2%

Ségolène Royal

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann

2%

Marion Maréchal

1%

François Baroin

0.1%

Éric Zemmour

0.1%

$506K Vol

Apr 30, 2027 @ 12:00AM

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Yield

3%

97%

$469K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Yield

December 31

5%

$3.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Yield

Nicolás Maduro

84%

Richard Grenell

49.9%

Edmundo González

39.9%

Delcy Rodríguez

11%

Dan Caine

4%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

3%

María Corina Machado

3%

No Head of State

2%

Dinorah Figuera

2%

Frank Donovan

1%

Evan Pettus

1%

Pete Hegseth

1%

Jorge Rodríguez

1%

Marco Rubio

1%

Vladimir Padrino López

1%

Donald Trump

1%

$134K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

California Governor Election Winner

Yield

Xavier Becerra

96%

Katie Porter

19.6%

Steve Hilton

4%

Elaine Culotti

1%

Matt Mahan

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

Tom Steyer

1%

Nicole Shanahan

1%

Leo Zacky

1%

Tony Thurmond

1%

Eleni Kounalakis

1%

Chad Bianco

1%

Kyle Langford

1%

Toni Atkins

1%

Betty Yee

1%

Butch Ware

1%

Stephen Cloobeck

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

1%

Alex Padilla

1%

Rick Caruso

1%

Eric Swalwell

0.2%

Daniel Mercuri

0.2%

Michael Younger

0.1%

$4.4M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yield

6%

94%

$247K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Yield

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

64%

Mike Rogers (R)

36%

$39,984 Vol

Nov 3 @ 5:00AM

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

J.D. Vance

49%

Marco Rubio

18%

Rick Scott

6%

John N. Kennedy

6%

Eric Trump

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Erika Kirk

3%

Ivanka Trump

3%

Elon Musk

3%

Ron DeSantis

3%

Donald Trump Jr.

3%

Tom Cotton

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Mike Johnson

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Pete Hegseth

2%

Joe Kent

2%

Thomas Massie

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

2%

Steve Bannon

2%

Rand Paul

2%

Tom Brady

2%

Kristi Noem

2%

John Thune

2%

Katie Britt

2%

Matt Gaetz

2%

Ted Cruz

2%

Josh Hawley

2%

Elise Stefanik

2%

Byron Donalds

2%

Brian Kemp

2%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

Donald Trump

0.2%

Tucker Carlson

0.2%

Mike Pence

0.2%

$368K Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM